2018 United States Senate election in Vermont


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The 2018 United States Senate election in Vermont was held November 6, 2018, alongside a gubernatorial election, U.S. House election, and other state and local elections. Incumbent independent Senator Bernie Sanders won re-election to a third term, defeating Republican nominee Lawrence Zupan.[1] The primaries were held on August 14.[2] This was one of two independent-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Hillary Clinton won in the 2016 presidential election.

2018 United States Senate election in Vermont
← 2012 November 6, 2018 2024 →
Turnout55.57%
 
Nominee Bernie Sanders Lawrence Zupan
Party Independent Republican
Popular vote 183,649 74,815
Percentage 67.44% 27.47%

Sanders:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
     70–80%      80–90%
Zupan:      40–50%      50–60%
Tie:      40–50%

U.S. Senator before election

Bernie Sanders
Independent

Elected U.S. Senator

Bernie Sanders
Independent

Two-term independent Senator Bernie Sanders was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2012. Sanders, a candidate for president in the 2016 primary election and one of only three independent members of Congress, is a self-described democratic socialist.

Sanders has caucused with the Democratic Party since taking office in 2007, and he is the Chairman of the Budget Committee. He was 77 years old in 2018. Sanders ran for the 2016 Democratic presidential nomination. After failing to win the nomination, he announced that he would run for re-election for his Senate seat in 2018.[5]

Eliminated in primary

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  • Folasade Adeluola, activist[14]
  • Jon Svitavsky, homelessness activist[14]
 
Results by county

Map legend

  •   Sanders—≥90%

  •   Sanders—80–90%

  • Lawrence Zupan, real estate broker[17]

Eliminated in primary

edit

 
Results by county

Map legend

  •   Paige—50–60%

  •   Paige—40–50%

  •   Paige—30–40%

  •   Zupan—30–40%

  •   Zupan—40–50%

  •   Zupan—50–60%

  •   Zupan—60–70%

H. Brooke Paige, who also won the Republican nominations for U.S. House, state Attorney General, state Secretary of State, state Treasurer, and state Auditor, withdrew from all but the secretary of state race on August 24, in order to allow the Vermont Republican Party to name replacement candidates.[21] The Vermont Republican Party picked Lawrence Zupan, who came in 2nd place in the primary, to be the Republican nominee.[22]

Source Ranking As of
CNN[23] Solid I July 12, 2018
Fox News[24] Likely* I July 9, 2018
RealClearPolitics[25] Safe I June 6, 2018
The Cook Political Report[26] Solid I October 11, 2017
Inside Elections[27] Solid I September 29, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe I September 27, 2017

*Highest rating given

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Bernie
Sanders (I) 		Lawrence
Zupan (R) 		Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing[29] October 30 – November 1, 2018 885 ± 3.3% 66% 30% – 4%
Braun Research[30] October 5–14, 2018 495 ± 4.4% 60% 19% 7%[31] 16%
Tulchin Research (D-Vermont Democratic Party)[32] September 23–26, 2018 406 ± 4.9% 75% 20% – –

Sanders won re-election with 67.4% of the vote against eight other candidates.[33]

  1. ^ Dobbs, Taylor. "Bernie Sanders to Seek Reelection to U.S. Senate". Seven Days. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  2. ^ Ember, Sydney (August 16, 2018). "Vermont Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved October 24, 2018.
  3. ^ a b Thomsen, Jacqueline (October 22, 2017). "Sanders to run as an independent in 2018". The Hill. Retrieved November 12, 2017.
  4. ^ Madigan, Cherise (January 7, 2018). "Newcomer Brad Peacock launches bid for Senate". The Bennington Banner. Retrieved May 21, 2018.
  5. ^ Hagen, Lisa (January 20, 2017). "Major progressive group unveils first 2018 Senate endorsements". The Hill. Retrieved January 29, 2017.
  6. ^ Kampeas, Ron (October 19, 2018). "Jewish candidates in the 2018 congressional elections: The Senate". Heritage Florida Jewish News. Miami. Retrieved October 24, 2018.
  7. ^ Stewart, Brian (August 1, 2017). "MoveOn Endorses Six Senators' Re-Election Bids, Backing 'Health Care Heroes' for Helping Lead Effort to Stop Trumpcare From Becoming Law, Embracing Progressive Policies in Trump Era". MoveOn.org. Retrieved September 10, 2017.
  8. ^ Nihart, Alison (July 17, 2018). "RAD's First Crop of Endorsed Candidates for 2018". Rights and Democracy. Archived from the original on July 19, 2018. Retrieved July 20, 2018.
  9. ^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements".
  10. ^ "Bernie Sanders". Our Revolution. Retrieved August 14, 2018.
  11. ^ "Sanders to run as a Democrat — but not accept nomination". Politico. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  12. ^ a b Hirschfield, Peter (July 6, 2017). "Little-Known Challengers Seek To Unseat Bernie Sanders In 2018". Vermont Public Radio. Retrieved July 7, 2017.
  13. ^ Sainato, Michael (July 7, 2017). "Bitter Clinton Supporters Try to Unseat Bernie Sanders in Senate Race". Observer. Retrieved May 3, 2018.
  14. ^ a b Final Canvass
  15. ^ Zupan, Lawrence (July 30, 2018). "Letter: Zupan makes case for GOP senate nomination". Manchester Journal.
  16. ^ Epp, Henry (August 3, 2018). "Campaign 2018: Rocky De La Fuente Running In Multiple US Senate Primaries, Including Vt". Vermont Public Radio. Retrieved August 7, 2018.
  17. ^ McCullum, April (March 23, 2018). "Sen. Bernie Sanders' seat attracts 4 newcomer candidates". Burlington Free Press. Burlington, Vermont. Retrieved May 3, 2018.
  18. ^ a b Gregg, John P. (April 27, 2017). "Primary Source: Looking at the Sanders Juggernaut". Valley News. Retrieved April 27, 2017.
  19. ^ Meyn, Colin (August 24, 2018). "Republicans on the clock after Paige withdraws from five statewide races". VTDigger.
  20. ^ Young, Taylor (August 30, 2018). "Vt. GOP picks candidates for 5 open slots". WCAX-TV. Gray Digital Media. Retrieved August 30, 2018.
  21. ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  22. ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News. Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  23. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  24. ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  25. ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  26. ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  27. ^ Gravis Marketing
  28. ^ Braun Research
  29. ^ Russell Beste (I), Bruce Busa (I), Reid Kane (LU), and Brad Peacock (I) with 1%; Folasade Adeluola and Jon Svitavsky with 0%; none/write in/other with 3%
  30. ^ Tulchin Research (D-Vermont Democratic Party) Archived October 2, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
  31. ^ Vermont Secretary of State (November 2018). "Vermont electoral results, 2018" (PDF). State of Vermont. Archived from the original (PDF) on January 8, 2019. Retrieved November 24, 2018.

Official campaign websites